Sometimes on Classiarius, our viewpoints are pure predictions. The Trade War is only the beginning. The US will challenge China, with the help of its closest relationship in Asia, Japan. The manufacturing that left the US and Japan will return, at the expense of China.
As the global systems that we grew to feel were natural and permanent, systems like the World Bank, the United Nations, the European Union, Bretton-Woods and NATO were, in most cases built from 1944 to 1948 as a direct result of World War II and the battle between the West and Soviet Communism in Europe. That era has passed and these systems, slowly started to break up with the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991 – only slow motion. Since then, the excessive economic growth world and the political and military power world that follows it has moved to Asia. Forget Russia, Germany and Europe, most world challenges will take place in China, the South China Sea, North Korea, Vietnam, Australia, South Korea and Japan.
The United States has one very close relationship in Asia – that is Japan !! And together they will meet the challenges presented by an expansionist China.
Geopolitical time is measured in 25 to 75 years, presidents are only around for 4 to 8 years. Foolish TV and newsprint “experts” teach the pubic their opinion. Please read Classiarius for historical facts and real news, not the adjusted short-term versions.
President Donald J. Trump of the United States is in the Oval Office but note that the most recent pivot to Asia was announced in 2011 by then Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and for the next 20 years, the main US challenge will be China. President Barak Obama announced that the US had lost 20 spies in Beijing, while the US built massive Air Force and Navy bases in Asia since 2001. The set up for the rise of China, the decision to enact an aggressive police to contain Communist China started in 1945. Note that the United States fought wars in Korea, Vietnam, and has built permanent bases in Japan, South Korea, and Thailand….draw a circle around Vietnam, South Korea, Thailand and Japan and you will see, right in the middle, the Encapsulated Super Power – China.
Tech Moves from China Back to the United States
We have written a lot about FAANGS in the past. Many of the US tech companies have driven the stock market rally in the past 3 years with profit models and networks that rely on manufacturing of components in China. And while many market market experts are digesting the latest news that was reported by Bloomberg news, stating that China slipped pencil tip-sized spy chips into computer hardware built by US companies with components delivered from China, keep in mind that the trade war between the US and China has been in the making for 75 years.
We are going to present to you a series of articles that, for the most part, totally ignore anything Democrat and Republican parties say. We are interested in time archs of 50 years or more. The US and China are on a collision course, and the relationship between the US and Japan is key to security in Asia. We will cover this story weekly.